Des Moines Menace vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
DES
0 - 2
THU
39%
25%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
DES
0 - 2
MIC
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
DES
2 - 0
CFC
55%
22%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DES
1 - 2
SPR
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DES
3 - 1
STL
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
WSA
5 - 2
STL
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
WSA
4 - 1
SPR
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +5 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
WSA
0 - 2
CFC
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
THU
4 - 1
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
THU
5 - 0
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |