Des Moines Menace vs Chattanooga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
BUF
0 - 3
DES
7%
14%
80%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DES
1 - 1
MIC
46%
24%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
DES
4 - 1
KHA
68%
19%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DES
4 - 0
KCF
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
DES
2 - 0
PEO
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chattanooga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
GSD
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 3
AFC
3%
12%
85%
|
35 | 78 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
MSF
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MSF
2 - 3
CHA
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASD
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |