Deruta vs Voluntas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
DER
3 - 2
CAS
39%
25%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
DER
57%
24%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DER
2 - 2
PIE
53%
23%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 0
DER
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DER
1 - 0
SCA
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FIE
1 - 0
VOL
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 0
VIT
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 0
SPO
36%
25%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 2
VOL
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |