AS Deruta vs Pierantonio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 1
DER
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DER
1 - 2
ARZ
13%
23%
64%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PIA
3 - 0
DER
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
DER
1 - 1
VIT
41%
28%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 1
DER
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pierantonio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PIE
2 - 0
FLA
36%
26%
39%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SSD
3 - 2
PIE
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PIE
3 - 1
ASD
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PON
1 - 1
PIE
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |