Derry City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
DRO
0 - 1
DER
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
DER
2 - 0
LIF
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
DER
2 - 3
CAO
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
FIN
0 - 2
DER
33%
30%
37%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
DER
4 - 1
UCD
60%
26%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
STP
1 - 1
BRW
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2008 |
STP
2 - 1
LON
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2008 |
GAL
2 - 2
STP
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
STP
0 - 1
BOH
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
SLR
1 - 2
STP
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |