Derry City vs Monaghan United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
DER
0 - 1
SHR
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
DER
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
SLR
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
UCD
0 - 1
DER
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
DER
0 - 3
DRO
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Monaghan United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
SLR
1 - 3
MON
70%
18%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SLR
3 - 1
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
FAU
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
GAL
1 - 3
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
GAL
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |