Derry City vs Mervue United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.2%
2-0
18.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.9%
5%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
LON
1 - 3
DER
17%
27%
57%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
DER
1 - 0
ATH
80%
15%
5%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 0
DER
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 1
DER
19%
27%
54%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
CAO
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MER
2 - 3
WAT
19%
25%
56%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
CAO
4 - 2
MER
74%
20%
7%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
WEX
30%
25%
44%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
1 - 0
MER
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
LIM
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |