Derry City vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
DER
4 - 0
SHE
66%
21%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAO
0 - 1
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
DER
1 - 1
DRO
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
UCD
0 - 6
DER
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
DER
0 - 1
SLR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BRW
2 - 2
UCD
51%
22%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
DRO
2 - 1
BRW
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SLR
3 - 0
BRW
81%
14%
6%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
BRW
1 - 0
SHE
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 1
BRW
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |