Derio vs Sondika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
CLU
2 - 4
DER
52%
25%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DER
2 - 1
SDS
25%
25%
50%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DEU
1 - 2
DER
62%
22%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
DER
3 - 0
GAL
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
DER
34%
26%
40%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sondika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 1
CDS
56%
23%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CDS
2 - 0
CLU
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SDS
3 - 3
CDS
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CDS
1 - 1
DEU
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 2
CDS
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |