Northern Ireland Second Division Normal Season Round 15

Dergview FC vs Knockbreda analysis

Dergview FC Knockbreda
46 ELO 38
-1.2% Tilt 5.5%
6120º General ELO ranking 6009º
35º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
61.8%
Dergview FC
20.5%
Draw
17.7%
Knockbreda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
Dergview FC
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.7%
Win probability
Knockbreda
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dergview FC
-50%
-13%
Knockbreda

Points and table prediction

Dergview FC
Their league position
Knockbreda
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
12º
10º
28
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Loughgall
69
69
100%
Warrenpoint Town
63
63
100%
Annagh United
55
55
100%
Dundela
54
54
100%
Ballyclare Comrades
47
47
100%
Ards FC
47
47
100%
Harland & Wolff Welders
46
46
0%
Ballinamallard United
46
46
0%
Institute
34
34
100%
Dergview FC
11º
33
33
10º
0%
Newington Youth
10º
33
33
11º
0%
Knockbreda
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dergview FC
Knockbreda
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Dergview FC
Knockbreda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2022
AUN
Annagh United
3 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
74%
16%
10%
47 58 11 0
05 Nov. 2022
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
0 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
60%
21%
20%
46 50 4 +1
29 Oct. 2022
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 0
Annagh United
AUN
17%
21%
62%
45 58 13 +1
08 Oct. 2022
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 1
Dundela
DUN
22%
24%
54%
45 56 11 0
01 Oct. 2022
ARD
Ards FC
5 - 2
Dergview FC
DER
56%
22%
22%
46 49 3 -1

Matches

Knockbreda
Knockbreda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2022
INS
Institute
8 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
63%
20%
17%
39 47 8 0
05 Nov. 2022
KNO
Knockbreda
0 - 1
Loughgall
LOU
18%
22%
61%
39 62 23 0
29 Oct. 2022
INS
Institute
2 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
62%
21%
18%
40 47 7 -1
22 Oct. 2022
KNO
Knockbreda
0 - 3
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
37%
23%
40%
41 47 6 -1
15 Oct. 2022
DUN
Dundela
2 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
72%
17%
11%
42 56 14 -1