Dereham Town vs Waltham Abbey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 3
DER
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DER
2 - 3
THA
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VCD
1 - 2
DER
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
HAR
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SOH
1 - 3
DER
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Waltham Abbey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 0
VCD
59%
22%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 0
BRE
53%
22%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
WAR
0 - 2
WAL
58%
22%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
WRO
0 - 4
WAL
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WAL
1 - 0
BUR
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |