Derby County U23 vs Tottenham Hotspur U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 3
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
BHA
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MCI
3 - 2
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
LEI
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
TOT
1 - 0
LEI
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 3
TOT
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
EVE
6 - 0
TOT
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
TOT
2 - 0
MCI
23%
21%
56%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ARS
2 - 1
TOT
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |