Derby County U18 vs Liverpool U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
45.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
DER
3 - 3
TOT
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DER
3 - 0
STO
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
MID
2 - 1
DER
33%
21%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
AST
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FUL
2 - 2
DER
50%
21%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
MCI
1 - 0
LIV
65%
18%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 1
CHE
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ARS
4 - 1
LIV
37%
21%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
LIV
25%
20%
55%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
LIV
1 - 1
WHU
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |