Derby County U18 vs Blackburn Rovers U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
6 - 3
DER
57%
20%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DER
0 - 1
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
DER
1 - 2
EVE
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
DER
2 - 0
MCI
26%
20%
55%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 2
DER
14%
17%
69%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MID
3 - 1
BLA
51%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 6
LIV
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 2
EVE
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 4
MAN
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SUN
4 - 1
BLA
20%
20%
61%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |