Derby County vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
SOU
2 - 0
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
DER
0 - 1
MID
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CHL
2 - 1
DER
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
DER
3 - 4
EVE
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
BOL
1 - 3
DER
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 1
FUL
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
ASV
1 - 1
NEW
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
6 - 2
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
2 - 2
IPS
64%
20%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |