Premier League Round 36

Derby County vs Middlesbrough analysis

Derby County Middlesbrough
83 ELO 84
17.2% Tilt -2.8%
1198º General ELO ranking 615º
41º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
63.4%
Derby County
18.5%
Draw
18.1%
Middlesbrough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
Derby County
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.1%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Derby County
+1%
-1%
Middlesbrough

ELO progression

Derby County
Middlesbrough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Derby County
Derby County
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 1951
DER
Derby County
2 - 4
Manchester United
MUD
56%
21%
23%
83 87 4 0
24 Mar. 1951
HUR
Huddersfield Town
2 - 0
Derby County
DER
38%
24%
38%
83 74 9 0
23 Mar. 1951
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 0
Derby County
DER
61%
20%
19%
84 87 3 -1
17 Mar. 1951
DER
Derby County
4 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
59%
20%
21%
83 86 3 +1
03 Mar. 1951
DER
Derby County
1 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
61%
19%
20%
83 85 2 0

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 1951
STO
Stoke City
2 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
44%
24%
31%
84 79 5 0
24 Mar. 1951
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
69%
16%
14%
84 80 4 0
23 Mar. 1951
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
71%
17%
13%
84 79 5 0
17 Mar. 1951
FUL
Fulham
2 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
39%
25%
36%
84 76 8 0
10 Mar. 1951
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
67%
17%
16%
84 82 2 0