Derby County vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1979 |
DER
1 - 1
NOR
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 2
DER
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1978 |
NTT
1 - 1
DER
70%
18%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
DER
0 - 0
ASV
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
ARS
2 - 0
DER
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1979 |
LIV
6 - 0
NOR
75%
17%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1979 |
LIV
3 - 0
BUR
83%
13%
4%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1979 |
LIV
1 - 0
BIR
79%
15%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1979 |
LIV
1 - 0
BBU
86%
11%
3%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
LIV
2 - 1
WBA
64%
21%
15%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |