Walter Ferretti vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
25
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 2
WAL
14%
25%
62%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MAN
62%
21%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 1
UNA
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
MFC
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
UNA
0 - 4
WAL
23%
22%
54%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ORM
1 - 4
UNA
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 2
MFC
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
2 - 1
UNA
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
UNA
83%
13%
5%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
UNA
0 - 4
WAL
23%
22%
54%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |