Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
34.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
WAL
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
DIR
0 - 4
WAL
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UNA
1 - 1
WAL
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
WAL
2 - 1
DIR
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
CDS
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
UNA
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DIR
1 - 2
EST
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
UNA
1 - 1
EST
33%
28%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |