Walter Ferretti vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 1
UNA
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UNA
0 - 2
WAL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
WAL
20%
25%
54%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
EST
6 - 1
DIR
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DIR
1 - 2
EST
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
0 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
REA
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |