Walter Ferretti vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
9º
5º
30
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
MFC
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 0
WAL
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 0
DIR
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
DEC
0 - 2
WAL
11%
17%
72%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
ORM
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
DEP
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
ORM
0 - 3
MAN
21%
25%
55%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
MFC
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAN
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 2
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |