Walter Ferretti vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
10º
10º
15
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DIR
2 - 0
WAL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ORM
0 - 0
WAL
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 17 | 46 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
WAL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
WAL
0 - 0
UNA
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
CDS
25%
26%
50%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 3
JAP
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
3 - 2
DEP
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
ORM
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 16 | 35 | 0 |