Deportivo Táchira vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
ZUL
1 - 0
TAC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
TAC
78%
14%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
TAC
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LAR
2 - 2
TAC
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 2
CCP
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
TRU
34%
28%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
25%
26%
48%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
ARA
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |