CONCACAF Champions Cup . Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Deportivo Saprissa vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CSH
0 - 1
SAP
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SAP
0 - 0
CSH
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
SAP
2 - 1
KCW
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BFC
1 - 1
SAP
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
KCW
0 - 0
SAP
57%
22%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
NEC
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
MUN
0 - 0
MON
32%
23%
45%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
JAG
1 - 1
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
MUN
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |