Deportivo San Miguelito vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
MSM
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
MSM
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MSM
0 - 1
OES
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
VER
0 - 0
MSM
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MSM
1 - 2
GEM
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CEN
2 - 1
OES
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
VER
2 - 3
CEN
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 2
GEM
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |