Dep. Riestra vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
30.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
CEN
1 - 1
RIE
48%
27%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
DYJ
1 - 0
RIE
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
RAC
3 - 0
RIE
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
RIE
1 - 0
ATT
39%
30%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
SMA
3 - 2
RIE
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 2
ATT
43%
28%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 1
SAR
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 2
LAN
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
GOD
0 - 0
SAR
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 2
IND
43%
29%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |