Dep. Riestra vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
RIE
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 0
BRO
43%
29%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
RIE
41%
31%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
RIE
0 - 0
SMA
27%
30%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 0
FER
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 1
CAG
36%
31%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
GBR
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 1
GIM
25%
30%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
STM
4 - 1
GBR
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 0
CFE
32%
31%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |