Dep. Quito vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
OLM
0 - 2
QUI
42%
30%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 1
QUI
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 2
BSC
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
OLM
1 - 0
QUI
39%
30%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 0
MAN
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2009 |
EME
1 - 1
MAN
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 2
EME
32%
29%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
CUE
0 - 1
EME
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
EME
2 - 2
TEC
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |