Dep. Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
AUC
2 - 2
QUI
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 1
AUC
55%
24%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 0
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 2
OLM
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 1
QUI
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
CUE
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CUE
2 - 2
MAC
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 0
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
BSC
31%
30%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
LDU
3 - 1
MAC
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |