Dep. Quito vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BSC
4 - 1
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
QUI
3 - 2
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
CUE
1 - 0
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
QUI
3 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
LDU
0 - 2
QUI
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
AUC
1 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
AUC
1 - 1
LDU
45%
26%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
AUC
2 - 1
BSC
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
32%
29%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
AUC
1 - 0
CUE
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |