Deportivo Morón vs Dep. Armenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2006 |
EST
0 - 0
MOR
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
AND
2 - 2
MOR
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MOR
1 - 2
ATL
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
STM
0 - 3
MOR
31%
29%
39%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
MOR
2 - 2
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ARM
0 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ARM
2 - 1
SUA
38%
30%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
FLA
2 - 1
ARM
37%
31%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
TAL
0 - 0
ARM
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ARM
1 - 2
CCO
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |