Deportivo Morón vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
RIE
1 - 1
MOR
28%
28%
45%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
EST
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 2
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
SUA
24%
28%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PLA
4 - 3
DEF
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
VSC
41%
30%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
DEF
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
DEF
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |