Clausura Venezuela . Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
La Guaira vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 1
DEP
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 0
EST
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 2
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
ZUL
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 1
DEP
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ZAM
3 - 1
TRU
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 0
LAR
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 1
TRU
26%
23%
51%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 1
DEP
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |