La Guaira vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
31.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ZUL
0 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 2
CFC
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
DEP
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
LLA
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TRU
2 - 2
DEP
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
ZAM
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
ARA
4 - 1
ZUL
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
ARA
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 2
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |