La Guaira vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
CFC
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 3
TRU
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 2
DEP
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 1
DEP
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 1
MIN
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TAC
3 - 0
ARA
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
YAR
0 - 1
ARA
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ZUL
2 - 0
ARA
40%
26%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |