Primera Apertura Round 3

Deportivo Jocotán vs Aurora FC analysis

Deportivo Jocotán Aurora FC
52 ELO 48
0.1% Tilt -1.1%
25532º General ELO ranking 3686º
43º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Deportivo Jocotán
22.1%
Draw
19.2%
Aurora FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
Deportivo Jocotán
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Win probability
Aurora FC
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Deportivo Jocotán
Aurora FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Jocotán
Deportivo Jocotán
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2016
ZAC
Zacapa
0 - 2
Deportivo Jocotán
DEP
29%
25%
47%
51 42 9 0
31 Jul. 2016
DEP
Deportivo Jocotán
1 - 1
Universidad San Carlos
UNI
26%
25%
49%
51 63 12 0
15 May. 2016
CAR
Carchá
4 - 1
Deportivo Jocotán
DEP
33%
26%
41%
52 49 3 -1
11 May. 2016
DEP
Deportivo Jocotán
3 - 1
Carchá
CAR
49%
24%
28%
52 50 2 0
08 May. 2016
DEP
Deportivo Jocotán
6 - 0
Nueva Concepción
NUE
34%
23%
43%
50 52 2 +2

Matches

Aurora FC
Aurora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2016
AUR
Aurora FC
2 - 2
Mixco
MIX
47%
27%
26%
48 44 4 0
31 Jul. 2016
QUI
Quirigua
2 - 2
Aurora FC
AUR
41%
25%
34%
49 44 5 -1
08 May. 2016
CAR
Carchá
1 - 0
Aurora FC
AUR
41%
27%
32%
50 49 1 -1
04 May. 2016
AUR
Aurora FC
2 - 1
Carchá
CAR
34%
28%
38%
49 50 1 +1
01 May. 2016
HUE
Huehueteco
3 - 1
Aurora FC
AUR
46%
26%
28%
50 50 0 -1