Espoli vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
LIG
3 - 2
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 1
ESP
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OLM
0 - 1
ESP
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 1
BSC
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 2
QUI
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLM
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
TEC
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |