Dep. Español vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 3
RIV
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
CEN
0 - 3
ESP
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
ESP
2 - 1
RAC
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
CFE
2 - 1
ESP
39%
30%
31%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
ESP
2 - 1
GLP
58%
25%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
INS
2 - 0
ARG
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
RIV
2 - 0
INS
73%
17%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
INS
1 - 1
BOC
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
CEN
3 - 0
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
INS
0 - 1
NOB
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |