Deportivo Fabril vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1997 |
COL
2 - 2
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
DEP
1 - 2
SPB
61%
21%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
RCF
0 - 1
DEP
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
DEP
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
MAN
1 - 0
DEP
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1997 |
ARA
1 - 0
CEL
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
ASP
2 - 1
ARA
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
ARA
1 - 1
PON
52%
26%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
ARA
4 - 0
COL
42%
28%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
SPB
2 - 1
ARA
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |