D. Arenas vs Cuéllar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuéllar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CUE
2 - 3
UXA
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LER
0 - 0
CUE
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CUE
5 - 4
BOS
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
VAD
1 - 0
CUE
38%
24%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CUE
5 - 0
LAS
78%
14%
7%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |