Copa Libertadores Group G Round 5

Deportes Tolima vs Boca Juniors analysis

Deportes Tolima Boca Juniors
80 ELO 86
-11.5% Tilt 2.8%
569º General ELO ranking 252º
10º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
28.4%
Deportes Tolima
27.5%
Draw
44%
Boca Juniors

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
Deportes Tolima
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44%
Win probability
Boca Juniors
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportes Tolima
+6%
+5%
Boca Juniors

ELO progression

Deportes Tolima
Boca Juniors
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2019
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 2
Alianza FC
ALI
59%
25%
16%
80 70 10 0
18 Apr. 2019
MIL
Millonarios
1 - 2
Deportes Tolima
TOL
47%
26%
27%
79 81 2 +1
15 Apr. 2019
TOL
Deportes Tolima
0 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
55%
26%
20%
79 73 6 0
10 Apr. 2019
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 0
Deportes Tolima
TOL
59%
22%
19%
80 84 4 -1
04 Apr. 2019
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 2
Jorge Wilstermann
JWI
47%
26%
27%
80 75 5 0

Matches

Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2019
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
EST
83%
12%
4%
86 58 28 0
11 Apr. 2019
BOC
Boca Juniors
4 - 0
Jorge Wilstermann
JWI
66%
20%
14%
85 75 10 +1
07 Apr. 2019
ALD
Aldosivi
1 - 1
Boca Juniors
BOC
18%
24%
58%
86 72 14 -1
03 Apr. 2019
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
3 - 0
Boca Juniors
BOC
41%
26%
33%
87 83 4 -1
30 Mar. 2019
BOC
Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Banfield
BAN
71%
18%
11%
87 78 9 0