Apertura Colombia Round 8

Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis

Deportes Tolima Atlético Bucaramanga
79 ELO 75
0.4% Tilt -7.3%
565º General ELO ranking 560º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.4%
Deportes Tolima
23.4%
Draw
18.1%
Atlético Bucaramanga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
Deportes Tolima
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.2%
Win probability
Atlético Bucaramanga
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportes Tolima
+8%
+8%
Atlético Bucaramanga

ELO progression

Deportes Tolima
Atlético Bucaramanga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2016
HUI
Atlético Huila
2 - 2
Deportes Tolima
TOL
39%
26%
35%
79 73 6 0
28 Feb. 2016
MIL
Millonarios
2 - 1
Deportes Tolima
TOL
48%
26%
26%
80 79 1 -1
25 Feb. 2016
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
71%
19%
10%
80 64 16 0
20 Feb. 2016
ONC
Once Caldas
3 - 2
Deportes Tolima
TOL
48%
26%
26%
80 79 1 0
17 Feb. 2016
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 0
At. Nacional
NAC
45%
27%
29%
79 82 3 +1

Matches

Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2016
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
0 - 0
Alianza FC
ALI
45%
27%
28%
73 71 2 0
27 Feb. 2016
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
0 - 0
Águilas Doradas
AGU
39%
30%
31%
73 77 4 0
24 Feb. 2016
JAG
Jaguares FC
1 - 1
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
29%
29%
43%
74 62 12 -1
22 Feb. 2016
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
1 - 1
Alianza FC
ALI
49%
27%
24%
74 71 3 0
18 Feb. 2016
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 0
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
49%
26%
24%
73 73 0 +1