Dénia vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CDA
3 - 5
DEN
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEN
0 - 2
MAS
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UDC
1 - 2
DEN
17%
24%
60%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
DEN
0 - 1
CAT
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UEG
0 - 1
DEN
17%
22%
60%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
PEG
0 - 0
FCC
51%
24%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TAV
1 - 0
PEG
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
PEG
1 - 2
GAN
13%
25%
62%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
JAV
1 - 0
PEG
66%
22%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PEG
0 - 0
ALG
10%
19%
71%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |