Dénia vs CD Llosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 0
DEN
47%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 1
BOR
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 2
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NUC
1 - 0
DEN
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ELD
2 - 0
DEN
25%
26%
48%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
CD Llosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LLO
0 - 0
JOV
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
LLO
59%
23%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LLO
0 - 2
NOV
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 2
LLO
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LLO
2 - 3
ACE
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |