Dénia vs Alcàsser analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SDS
1 - 1
DEN
24%
24%
53%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DEN
4 - 0
ENG
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
JAV
2 - 1
DEN
49%
25%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
DEN
1 - 1
LLO
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DEN
0 - 0
MUR
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alcàsser
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALC
2 - 1
PEG
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
PED
1 - 3
ALC
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 4
TAV
8%
14%
79%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDC
4 - 0
ALC
83%
13%
5%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
LAL
3 - 1
ALC
76%
16%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |