FCV Dender vs SL16 FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
49.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
10º
19
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
2 - 1
JET
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RWD
1 - 0
DEN
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
4 - 0
WET
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 4
LOM
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 1
NIN
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STL
2 - 2
BEE
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BRG
2 - 2
STL
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |