FCV Dender vs Knokke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SER
2 - 2
DEN
48%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
DEN
5 - 1
HEI
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
DEN
2 - 0
EEA
48%
23%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
RWD
2 - 0
DEN
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
DEN
1 - 1
KSK
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Knokke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
KNO
0 - 2
RWD
45%
23%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
OUD
2 - 1
KNO
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
KNO
1 - 2
KSK
57%
21%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DES
0 - 0
KNO
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
KNO
4 - 1
DEI
37%
23%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |