Democrata SL vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
NEC
0 - 0
DEM
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
IFC
1 - 0
DEM
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
DEM
0 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 0
DEM
32%
26%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
DEM
1 - 1
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
PAT
0 - 1
NEC
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
PAT
0 - 2
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MAM
0 - 1
PAT
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
USC
0 - 1
PAT
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PAT
2 - 1
URT
40%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |