Democrata SL vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
4 - 2
DEM
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
UBE
1 - 4
DEM
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
DEM
1 - 1
AMF
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
CRZ
5 - 2
DEM
92%
7%
2%
|
42 | 82 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
DEM
3 - 0
ATM
7%
15%
78%
|
40 | 80 | 40 | +2 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
1 - 2
CAL
28%
24%
47%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
UBE
0 - 1
CAL
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
AMF
3 - 0
CAL
46%
24%
31%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CAL
2 - 0
BOA
55%
22%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |