Democrata GV vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
DEM
4 - 1
IFC
35%
24%
41%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 3
DEM
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
DEM
3 - 0
PAT
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
IFC
4 - 3
DEM
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DEM
2 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
OPE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DEM
2 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
APA
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 3
TOM
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AMF
0 - 0
VIL
89%
9%
2%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |